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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart


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#501 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 20 December 2017 - 08:54 AM

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 20, 2017

 

The GBP/USD currency pair was able to move ahead of the American dollar, as the USD lower in price amid smooth approval process of the tax bill. The passage was projected to support the dollar to increase, however, the effect was completely different. The market’s reaction remains uncertain not until the bill is already passed through in one of the US Houses and waiting for the Senate approval. However, there could be some delay due to procedural problems which could possibly place some pressure on the greenbacks that could further lead to uncertainty. As expected, the tax reform bill will be enacted by the Senate on a very tight margin and further requires the President’s signature to seal in the law. The whole scenario would likely be completed within this week, hence, the volatility in the USD should keep going until it happens.

 

The Brexit process does not have much improvement over this week and it is predicted to continue until New Year. Definitely, there will be some strong development in the process since the leaders on both sides clearly stated about the completion of a deal which may take a matter of time prior accomplishing the agreement. This notion seems to provide support for the pound in the past couple of weeks.

 

Ultimately, BOE Governor Mark Carney will have his speech but the impact to the market is predicted to be minimal. The market trend for today would likely be led by the USD and tax bill legislation. It is believed that the greens should gain more strength in the short and medium term in order to maintain the GBPUSD active.


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#502 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 21 December 2017 - 07:50 AM

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 21, 2017

 

The euro paired against the U.S. dollar still dominates the market as it positions strongly, although the volatile is starts to lessen come to the end of the week. The volatility would be much more minimize by the end of the week with the year about to end.

 

The U.S. tax reform bill was successfully passed that require Trump to seal it after which is anticipated soon. This is considered as an achievement for Trump as everyone in the team worked hard for this. It would also be beneficial for the large companies and gain more profit which would bring in more jobs in the U.S.

 

Trump has stabilized his position at the top which would now shift his attention to other bills such as the healthcare reform bill. However, the stock market and foreign exchange of the U.S. dollar did not have that much vigor, as the dollar is starting to decline recently compared to its position last week. It has been all over the market which supported the euro instead.

 

The EUR/USD pair was seen to touch on the 1.19 level but moved after into a consolidated yesterday. Trades are being traded just currently below the said level. When it comes to news, the final GDP data from the U.S. is anticipated today but there will be no other economic news to be published from the Eurozone. Hence, the trading range is presumed to tighten especially since the holidays are approaching.


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#503 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 22 December 2017 - 10:16 AM

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: December 22, 2017

 

The Aussie dollar traded sideways initially amid Thursday’s trading session, however, it moved higher following a weaker numbers of American GDP. This further caused the greenbacks to decline while providing a slight increase towards the Australian dollar during the day.

 

Nevertheless, the AUD/USD pair trades in a  low-volume at the margin during the day and traders are concerned to the approaching holidays in contrast to the currency markets.

 

It can be assumed that a break down under the 0.7625 area will push the market downwards reaching the 0.75 handle. It appears that the AUD will have some difficulty in moving higher to the upside, as a result, sellers manage to conduct a return. Perhaps, the market is easier to short at higher levels, but for now, it is suggested to stay on the sidelines until the volumes return.

 

There are some resistance barriers throughout the way which could make a difficult course to drive upwards. Hence, buying the commodity-linked pair seems to be under pressure. On the other hand, there’s no any shorting opportunity due to rally attempts by the market. The ability to roll over will push the market quickly, but it is impossible to see until after the New Year’s Day. Therefore, the market is expected to be difficult to deal with.


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#504 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 27 December 2017 - 06:31 AM

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 26, 2017

 

The euro against the U.S. dollar started with a tight trading week in a facile environment in consideration of the current market situation. Majority of traders are on a vacation this Christmas holiday season and the New Year whereas most of them would not working. This would result to lower volatility and liquidity that would limit the range of trading for this week.

 

There is also not much economic data on the calendar with fewer fundamentals in the next days to come. The steady dollar was supported by the tax reform bill, which was recently passed by the Senate and signed by the U.S. President. This would benefit m0st of the companies with lots of tax benefits which is as much as important to Trump and his team. At the same time, this is foreseen to improve the labor market and boost the economy in the succeeding years.

 

Hence, the dollar gained a short-term boost from the bill which will most likely be in effect for this week. The euro is being traded in a right range with minor consolidation in the past few months. Although, the fundamental new was not enough to successfully break the trading range.

It is yet to be discovered where the trend will range and if it is sufficient to sustain the pair within its range until January.

 

For today, there is not much economic news that is anticipated to be released from the eurozone or from the U.S. It is holidays in most part of Europe, which could result to tight trading range and consolidation throughout the day.


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#505 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 28 December 2017 - 06:20 AM

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 27, 2017

 

It was a holiday in the majority of the places in Europe, including the U.K. that makes it not surprising if the pound persisted to consolidate and traded within a tight range for the most part of trading yesterday.  The GBP/USD pair falls within a tight range since there is few major economic news.

 

It will not be surprising to have lesser volatility and liquidity this holiday season. At the same time, there is not much placing of trades and more on profit-taking in the past week, which can be seen mostly in the smaller market such as bitcoin. Although, it was not that obvious for pound despite there is a bigger market that is why grabbing the opportunity of any selling of this pair prior to holidays is relevant.

 

Come the second week of January, both liquidity and volatility will most likely gain momentum. Until then, traders should get ready for choppiness within a range near the end of the year. The market has reopened following a long weekend yet, there is still fewer traders this week since most still wanted to extend their vacation until New Year. Hence, consolidation of the pair within a tight range will persist in the next few days.

 

When it comes to data the Conference board’s Consumer confidence data from the U.S. is anticipated to be released today but this would not bring much volatility in the market. There is no major economic news from the U.K. Thus, there will be low trading and slow movement in the market for the rest of the day.


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#506 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 29 December 2017 - 06:23 AM

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: December 28, 2017

 

The British pound against the U.S. dollar climbs higher in the past 24 hours due to the weakness of the dollar that boosts other currencies against the dollar. This is presumed to persist for short-term with the incoming long weekend as the New Year approaches which would cause a dull trading in the market. Continue reading at https://goo.gl/jwfU5K

 

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: December 28, 2017

 

It is suggested that the American should resume its rally versus the Japanese yen within a specified time and also in case of the bullish sentiment by stock markets. This usually pushes the markets towards a higher position. The USD/JPY and the S&P 500 had a special correlation which should be kept in mind. Continue reading at https://goo.gl/GGc2V6


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#507 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 03 January 2018 - 08:24 AM

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: January 3, 2018

 

The Euro against the U.S. dollar climbed higher testing the resistance levels because of the exceedingly strong results of the manufacturing PMI following hints of the ECB meeting to end the quantitative easing in 2018. The European Central Bank has adjusted to the situation but with a steady inflation and progressive growth propelled the euro at a much higher rate.

 

The EUR/USD pair reached close to the September high at 1.2092 but was unsuccessful in breaking this rate. A strong euro has put pressure on the European stocks putting corporations into the lesser advantage against their competitors. The support level is found close to the 10-day Moving Average at 1.1920. The MACD histogram has been positive as it is printed in black with an upward sloping trajectory which could lead to a much higher Forex rate. The RSI indicator also gives an increasing positive momentum although the current rate is at 71. This is much higher than the overbought level of 70, which hints the possibility for a correction.


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#508 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 08 January 2018 - 08:02 AM

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: January 8, 2018

 

The New Zealand dollar was able to break higher upon the opening session on Monday, however, took a reversal throughout the week to move lower and fill the gap. In line with this, a sufficient support was seen and bounced to the upside. The day closed with a slight formation of a hammer pattern, which implies that buyers will return to the market.

 

It is possible that the Kiwi dollar will resume driving near the top of the overall consolidation zone, marked on the chart around 0.75 area. The 0.68 region below is considered highly supportive and basically the “floor” in the NZD/USD pair.

 

It remains to be seen prior shorting this market despite the noticeable breakdown underneath the bottom of the hammer for the week appears to be negative. But 0.70 level seems to be supportive which requires some time before taking long positions.

 

In case that commodity markets would rally in general, the upward trend would likely to continue. However, the current situation is slightly overbought which could possibly be followed by a pullback that should only offer value going forward. This is because the American currency was very weak versus other currencies. The market remains to have plenty of noise but a significant amount of bullish pressure is expected in order to continue moving forward. The highs will be tested again and will eventually break out.


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#509 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 10 January 2018 - 04:18 AM

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 9, 2018

 

The GBP/USD pair trades around a tight range yesterday considering the fact that consolidation period is already expected in the markets. The US dollar remained unchanged, as it traded initially for the week, the course showed mainly about trade positioning and the price action was monitored by the market participants which limits market’s actions.

 

The British economy is predicted to recover if the Brexit process will flow according to the plan. The economic data issued from the United Kingdom last week was choppy and should be regarded as an indication for negotiators about the importance of Brexit talks to go as planned r else it might bring adverse effect for the UK economy. This was avoided almost be everyone since uncertain UK economy is far from the goal of international leaders. With this, the leaders of Euro and the UK will be responsible for this and should outline some good trade agreement for both sides.

 

On the other hand, the United States are waiting for the incoming data because the figures sent last week was choppy and obscure. The market expects for a three-time rate hike this 2018, however, the new Fed Chair Jerome Powell will take over in February and it remains uncertain about his plans and the way he works. Hence, this could lead to some risks for the dollar and the American economy as well. The Federal Reserve and the upcoming data should coincide in order to drive away this concept, resulting in stability for the dollar which is essential for the world economy.

 

Generally, there are no fundamentals or economic data from the UK or the US for today but the ranging between the levels of 1.35 and 1.36 should resume in order to engage more participants, particularly the day traders.

 


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#510 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted 11 January 2018 - 05:12 AM

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: January 10, 2018

 

During the trading course on Tuesday, the New Zealand dollar appears to be choppy and mainly negative. The marketplace is characterized as wrist sensitive because the NZ dollar is generally influenced by “risk appetite” and commodity markets. Aside from that, there exist a dollar bias that further leads the market.

 

The 0.7150 mark looks like offering some kind of support for the NZD/USD currency pair, which appeared to be really strong lately. But the markets are consolidating which means that pullbacks are expected to attempt establishing momentum in order to resume the move to the upside. The longer-term charts imply consolidation between the 0.68 region on the bottom and 0.75 level above, which caused the market to resume further consolidation but the situation is regarded to be larger and longer term.

 

There is a tendency for the market to continue buying on the dips due to inability to reach the top of the consolidation zone after the rebound from the bottom. The Kiwi dollar would likely be slightly oversold, therefore, it is acceptable for some recovery and normality. Upon the breakdown, a significant support at the 0.71 handle should be expected which is previously a significant resistances and accompanied by a large gap since the past few weeks. Most likely, the American currency will continue to lose it strength.


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#511 Andrea ForexMart

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Posted Today, 04:12 AM

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: January 16, 2018

 

There is a hint of bullishness in yesterday’s trading session of the pound since there is no fundamental news to affect the market aside from the bank of the holiday in the U.S. As a result, the pound bulls have become relax in trading. Most likely, this is one of the reasons why the pair has been steady in the past few days but failed to break the level of 1.38 amid the weakness of the dollar.

 

Other than that, it could possibly be because of a big news expected to come this week, particularly the inflation data and retail sales data. Traders and investors anticipate the data prior to positioning themselves to any direction. The incoming data from the U.K. came out stronger which brought choppiness to trading while others came in weak, which has brought further uncertainty to the Brexit negotiations and affect the U.K. economy.

 

Yet, the pound was able to take advantage of euro strengthening and the weakening of the dollar. Although, this may not last for a long time. More importantly, the pound is beginning to gain momentum to move higher regardless of its condition. Also, rate hikes from the U.K. are also becoming an issue after its one rate hike last year. The succeeding hikes are deemed to be more important and the central bank has to be certain on its support actions from last year to boost the U.K. economy and confidence of investors.

 

There is no major news from the U.S. for today but the U.S. is presumed to return to the market following their long weekend holiday. On the other end, the inflation from the U. K. is highly anticipated later this day as it will have a significant insight on the movement of the market and give a hint on which direction does the GBP/USD pair will go.


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