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In Topic: Wave Analysis from InstaForex

Today, 04:57 AM

Weak data on the euro area is weighing on the euro
Weak data, including the preliminary, in the production and services sectors of the euro area put pressure on the European currency in the first half of the day. However, there was no significant sale of risky assets. This again indicates that most traders will focus on the Federal Reserve's protocols today. 
The British pound collapsed against the US dollar after the release of a weak report on the UK labor market, where there was a significant surge in the number of unemployed. 
In Germany, which is the flagship of the European economy, the growth rates of the manufacturing and services sectors have slowed. According to IHS Markit, the purchasing managers' index for the German services sector in February 2018 dropped to 55.3 points versus 57.3 points in January with economists expecting the February value to be at 57.0 points. The PMI for the manufacturing sector fell to 60.3 points from 61.1 points in January. 
The preliminary index of supply managers for the manufacturing sector in France also fell in February, reaching 56.1 points compared to 58.4 points in January. Economists had expected a less significant decline, to a level of 58.1 points. 
The preliminary index of supply managers for the services sector in France dropped to 57.9 points in February against 59.2 points in January this year. Economists had expected the index to remain unchanged at 59.2 points. 
As a result business activity in general for the euro area slowed in February. 
According to the report of IHS Markit, the composite index of supply managers of the eurozone in February fell to 57.5 points from 58.8 points in January. It is important to note that a value of above 50 in the index indicates an increase in activity. Economists also expected the decline but only to 58.5 points. 
The technical picture in the EURUSD pair remained unchanged compared with the morning forecast. In the event of a decline in the euro after the publication of the Fed's protocols, opening long positions is best after the major support levels of 1.2240 and 1.2200 have been updated. 
The British pound, as noted above, fell sharply against the US dollar after it became known that unemployment in the UK in the fourth quarter of 2017 increased. 
According to the report of the National Bureau of Statistics, the number of unemployed in the UK increased by 46,000 from October to December 2017. The unemployment rate was at 4.4% while economists expected unemployment to remain unchanged at 4.3%.

In Topic: Forex News from InstaForex

Today, 04:21 AM

Eurozone Business Growth Remains Firm in February
Eurozone business growth remained strong in February, with companies at their most optimistic in over five years, a private-sector survey showed. 
The eurozone was one of the best-performing major economies in 2017, and its businesses started 2018 by ramping up activity at the quickest rate in well over a decade. 
However, February's preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) indicated that the pace of growth set in January, the fastest in well over a decade, has lost a little momentum. 
IHS Markit's composite flash PMI for the euro zone, seen as a good guide to economic health, dropped to 57.5 in February. 
Nevertheless, this month's reading was still one of the most growth - or farthest above 50 - in more than 11 years. According to IHS Markit, the eurozone was on track for its best quarterly growth since the second quarter of 2016, with the PMI pointing to first-quarter growth of 0.9 percent. 
Companies shared that optimism - an index measuring expected output in a year's time climbed to 68.3 from 68.0, its highest since IHS Markit started collecting the data in July 2012. 
Consumer confidence in the bloc dropped more than expected this month, but that was from a 17-year high set in January, official data recently showed.

In Topic: Forex News from InstaForex

Today, 03:56 AM

ARGENTINA: Merval Rises As Fed Minutes Point To Gradual Increase In U.S. Rate
Merval, the main index of the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, rose 0.85%, closing at 33,108.16 points, in a volatile session, after the Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed that the U.S. central bank will move gradually towards higher interest rates. 
"The main US stock indices increased following the minutes of the Federal Reserve. The local market was not kept aside," said Eduardo Fernandez, an analyst at Rava Burs?til. 
Ternium Siderar shares rose 0.32% even after the company reported a consolidated net profit of result of 848.1 million pesos for the fourth quarter of 2017, 10.12% lower compared to the same period of the previous year. 
The Argentinean state-owned oil company YPF also ended higher (+1.22%) after starting the sale of its stake in Metrogas, dedicated to the distribution of natural gas. 
The oil company Vista Oil & Gas reported that it agreed to acquire an oil operating platform of Pampa Energ?a (+2.51%) and Pluspetrol Resources Corporation in Vaca Muerta. 
The shares of Distribuidora de Gas Cuyana (-2.36%), TGS (-2.34%), San Miguel (-1.38%), and Tenaris (-,86%) fell the most, while Cresud (+5.16%), Holcim (+4.15%), and Autopistas del Sol (+3.68%) posted the strongest gains. 
The locally traded U.S. dollar rose 0.37%, to 19.92 Argentinean pesos, due to lower interest rates from Lebacs, the country's central bank bonds. 
"The drop in the interest rate set by the central bank to the Lebac left the greenback without a clear trend, with sudden ups and downs amid a sharp drop in the trading volume," said Fernando Izzo, an analyst at ABC Mercado de Cambios.


In Topic: Wave Analysis from InstaForex

Yesterday, 06:28 AM

Technical analysis of NZD/USD for February 21, 2018
Our first downside target which we predicted in yesterday's analysis has been hit. NZD/USD is still expected to trade with a bearish outlook. The pair is capped by a bearish trend line since February 16, which confirmed a negative outlook. The downward momentum is further reinforced by both declining 20-period and 50-period moving averages. The relative strength index lacks upward momentum. 
To conclude, below 0.7375, look for a new drop with targets at 0.7305 and 0.7280 in extension. 
The black line shows the pivot point. Currently, the price is above the pivot point, which is a signal for long positions. If it remains below the pivot point, it will indicate short positions. The red lines show the support levels, while the green line indicates the resistance levels. These levels can be used to enter and exit trades. 
Resistance levels: 0.7410, 0.7440, and 0.7485. 
Support levels: 0.7335, 0.7295, and 0.7330.

In Topic: Forex News from InstaForex

Yesterday, 05:34 AM

Japan All Industry Activity Grows At Slower Pace
Japan's all industry activity growth halved in December, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry reported Wednesday. 
The all industry activity index rose 0.5 percent month-on-month in December, following November's 1 percent increase. Nonetheless, this was the third consecutive increase in activity and bigger than the expected 0.4 percent rise.
Industrial production advanced 2.9 percent, while construction activity shrank 0.4 percent and tertiary industry activity contracted 0.2 percent in December. 
On a yearly basis, all industry activity growth slowed to 1.8 percent in December from 2 percent a month ago. 
In the fourth quarter, all industry activity rebounded 0.7 percent after declining 0.3 percent in the third quarter.

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